THE ZAMBIAN ELECTION RESULTS – ALL HERE WITH ANALYSIS!

Nicole Beardsworth & Nic Cheeseman

14 August 2021

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As the results come in, DiA will be updating its results database and analysing the figures.

Analysis correct for the 107 (69%) constituencies released by 3:45pm on Sunday 15 August 2021.

Please keep in mind that this is based on the 107 constituencies released so far.

All results are taken from official ECZ figures for 2016 and 2021.

Figures compiled and analysed by Nicole Beardsworth and Nic Cheeseman

If you spot any mistakes do let us know!

	UPND/ Hichilema	PF/ Lungu	Reg voters	Total votes	Turnout	UNDP% 2021	PF% 2021

*CENTRAL*
CHITAMBO	4347	12089	26599	17631	66	26	71
CHISAMBA	18011	9620	40632	28903	71	64	34
ITEZHI_TEZHI	26069	2443	39641	29816	75	90	8
LUFUBU	3675	2475	11411	6643	58	58	39
MWEMBESHI	22836	2918	14729	26640	76	88	11
KEEMBE	25064	7787	49033	34584	71	75	23
KATUBA	24119	11903	53786	37421	70	66	33
MKUSHI NORTH	14509	16546	54487	32995	61	46	52
NANGOMA	18775	1424	26351	20855	79	92	7
SERENJE	7085	9887	29728	18028	61	41	57
*COPPERBELT*
CHINGOLA	30451	18219	69793	50232	72	62	37
MUFULIRA	12594	10110	32424	23463	72	55	44
KWACHA	24391	18980	64145	44973	70	55	43
KABUSHI	16961	19176	49908	37095	74	46	52
WUSAKILE	17684	14698	45993	33302	72	54	45
KALULUSHI	29139	18857	65297	49456	76	60	39
CHILILABOMBWE	24913	14705	54893	40842	74	62	37
KANKOYO	8104	6721	20498	15219	74	54	45
MPONGWE	20509	8724	44494	31178	71	68	29
MASAITA	12138	9499	30361	22733	75	55	43
NCHANGA	19045	14764	47276	34810	74	56	43
*EASTERN*
KAESENENGWA	12711	17334	52697	33204	63	40	54
LUMEZI	11267	20072	53451	34104	64	34	61
LUNDAZI	14929	24323	66972	42826	64	36	59
CHIPANGALI	12965	22732	70113	38494	55	35	61
CHASEFU	15551	18222	58847	37203	63	43	51
CHADIZA	16369	10754	44779	30131	67	57	38
KAPOCHE	7141	17607	44696	27654	62	27	66
KAUMBWE	3773	10728	30509	16122	53	25	70
LUANGENI	10817	15482	39883	27975	70	40	57
MALAMBO	16169	13347	45130	31506	70	53	44
VUBWI	4813	10421	27925	16662	81	30	66
MKAIKA	13004	14265	47017	29860	64	45	50
MSANZALA	8021	15688	41500	25748	62	32	63
NYIMBA	11446	21288	53277	35100	66	34	62
SINDA	10856	9811	33346	22906	69	50	46
*LUAPULA*
BANGWEULU	9598	25475	57856	38909	67	25	67
BAHATI	10203	18377	47919	32497	68	32	58
CHEMBE	3994	6014	18594	11482	62	36	54
CHIPILI	4789	10047	19729	15871	80	31	66
MAMBILIMA	3915	11438	23078	16142	70	25	73
KAWAMBWA	6529	14080	27885	21544	77	31	67
MWENSE	4174	17261	31937	22441	70	19	79
MILENGE	5163	10018	22191	16626	75	32	62
MWANSABOMBWE	4493	13274	27778	18754	68	25	73
PAMBASHE	5816	10139	20952	16992	81	35	62
*LUSAKA*
CHIRUNDU	20543	2992	30012	24339	81	86	13
FEIRA	4450	6537	14288	11504	81	39	58
KAFUE	33647	20183	78765	55554	71	62	37
CHONGWE	37995	23374	94677	63951	68	61	38
LUSAKA CENTRAL	38835	26318	93367	66748	71	59	40
RUFUNSA	8512	6973	25338	16532	65	54	44
*MUCHINGA*
NAKONDE	18086	19735	63178	40839	65	46	51
ISOKA	12000	12748	39050	26569	68	47	50
CHAMA NORTH	8968	12062	30963	22799	74	41	55
CHAMA SOUTH	6775	10059	22150	17922	81	39	58
CHINSALI	10079	26620	53782	39186	73	27	70
MAFINGA	9910	15408	39385	27630	70	37	58
SHIWAN’GANDU	5513	19129	35233	26785	76	21	74
*NORTHERN*
CHIMBAMILONGA	7861	12212	28602	21264	74	38	59
KASAMA CENTRAL	17649	26358	69295	46334	67	39	58
MPULUNGU	19359	16252	54723	38004	69	53	45
KAPUTA	13207	13181	39084	27764	71	49	49
MALOLE	11538	35042	78633	50713	64	23	71
LUNTE	7455	9953	27462	19002	69	41	55
LUBANSENSHI	8907	17182	38753	27766	72	33	64
KASEMPA	24190	2060	35345	27263	77	91	8
LUKASHYA	10238	30101	64397	42610	66	25	73
LUPOSOSHI	6092	16229	29587	23657	80	27	71
MBALA	15477	14821	54086	32751	61	49	47
MPOROKOSO	6734	11334	25006	19022	76	36	61
SENGA HILL	13017	10673	44543	27033	61	51	42
*NORTHWESTERN*
CHAVUMA	13758	2925	20597	17270	84	81	17
IKELENGE	13958	1301	18441	15694	85	90	8
KABOMPO	17411	1490	25018	19465	78	91	8
MANYINGA	17566	1588	24984	19800	79	91	8
MUFUMBWE	22162	2279	32070	25393	79	90	9
SOLWEZI EAST	11582	1575	19968	14105	71	86	12
SOLWEZI CENTRAL	44946	6966	76377	56515	74	81	13
SOLWEZI WEST	33301	1631	47696	36227	76	94	5
ZAMBEZI EAST	18271	1393	26317	20351	77	92	7
ZAMBEZI WEST	7088	1740	11676	9234	79	79	19
*SOUTHERN*
CHIKANKATA	29749	966	36812	31449	86	96	3
BWEENGWA	21497	309	24946	22266	89	98	1
CHOMA CENTRAL	55973	4086	59565	59565	81	96	7
DUNDUMWEZI	27883	262	33197	28922	87	98	1
GWEEMBE	23147	416	27583	24226	88	97	2
KATOMBOLA	42466	1358	49926	45576	83	96	3
MONZE	47427	1974	59661	50349	84	95	4
MAGOYE	24992	830	30849	26562	86	97	3
MAPATIZYA	29859	620	35988	31562	88	97	2
MAZABUKA	39554	5468	58954	46401	79	86	12
MBABALA	26940	363	31536	27956	89	98	1
MOOMBA	14320	194	16895	15155	90	96	1
NAMWALA	34992	1376	44566	37502	84	95	4
PEMBA	29470	320	34403	30584	89	98	1
SIAVONGA	20625	1356	26265	22615	86	93	6
SINAZONGWE	48334	1683	61656	51530	84	96	3
LIVINGSTONE	45368	13273	78470	59902	76	77	22
*WESTERN*
KAOMA CENTRAL	17886	2725	29611	21356	72	86	13
LUKULU EAST	19016	2537	29651	22563	76	87	12
SESHEKE	15642	2548	25499	18843	74	85	14
MULOBEZI	9647	1448	14729	11572	79	85	13
SENANGA	22191	1249	33710	24169	72	93	5
LUAMPA	11857	2831	21663	15473	71	79	19
MWANDI	9554	1759	14049	11651	83	83	15
NKEYEMA	15834	1305	26867	18052	67	91	7

TOTAL	1,847,870	1,079,713	4,232,208	3,084,434	72.9	61.6	36.0

Key points so far:

Turnout is *very* high at 73%
In these 107 (69% of the total) constituencies, the UPND has a strong lead with 62% of the vote, with the PF trailing a long way back on 36%.
UPND has built a big lead on the Copperbelt (57%) and Lusaka (62%) – the two most populous provinces that account for 31% of all registered voters.
The PF are on 56%in Eastern Province – which sounds good until you realise that in 2016 PF won 79% in 2016 – so this represents a fall of 23%.
In Muchinga – often said to be his strongest constituency – President Lungu is on 60% of the vote, down from 83% in 2016, which represents another decline of 23%

Observer statements:

To download the African Union statement, click here

To download the Commonwealth Observation Group statement, click here

To download the European Union EOM statement, click here

THE ZAMBIAN ELECTION RESULTS – ALL HERE WITH ANALYSIS!

Key points so far:

Observer statements:

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