THE ZAMBIAN ELECTION RESULTS – ALL HERE WITH ANALYSIS!

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As the results come in, DiA will be updating its results database and analysing the figures.

Analysis correct for the 107 (69%) constituencies released by 3:45pm on Sunday 15 August 2021.

Please keep in mind that this is based on the 107 constituencies released so far.

All results are taken from official ECZ figures for 2016 and 2021.

Figures compiled and analysed by Nicole Beardsworth and Nic Cheeseman

If you spot any mistakes do let us know!

 

UPND/ Hichilema

PF/        Lungu

Reg voters

    Total    votes

Turnout

UNDP% 2021

PF% 2021

               

CENTRAL

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CHITAMBO

4347

12089

26599

17631

66

26

71

CHISAMBA

18011

9620

40632

28903

71

64

34

ITEZHI_TEZHI

26069

2443

39641

29816

75

90

8

LUFUBU

3675

2475

11411

6643

58

58

39

MWEMBESHI

22836

2918

14729

26640

76

88

11

KEEMBE

25064

7787

49033

34584

71

75

23

KATUBA

24119

11903

53786

37421

70

66

33

MKUSHI NORTH

14509

16546

54487

32995

61

46

52

NANGOMA

18775

1424

26351

20855

79

92

7

SERENJE

7085

9887

29728

18028

61

41

57

COPPERBELT

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CHINGOLA

30451

18219

69793

50232

72

62

37

MUFULIRA

12594

10110

32424

23463

72

55

44

KWACHA

24391

18980

64145

44973

70

55

43

KABUSHI

16961

19176

49908

37095

74

46

52

WUSAKILE

17684

14698

45993

33302

72

54

45

KALULUSHI

29139

18857

65297

49456

76

60

39

CHILILABOMBWE

24913

14705

54893

40842

74

62

37

KANKOYO

8104

6721

20498

15219

74

54

45

MPONGWE

20509

8724

44494

31178

71

68

29

MASAITA

12138

9499

30361

22733

75

55

43

NCHANGA

19045

14764

47276

34810

74

56

43

EASTERN

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

KAESENENGWA

12711

17334

52697

33204

63

40

54

LUMEZI

11267

20072

53451

34104

64

34

61

LUNDAZI

14929

24323

66972

42826

64

36

59

CHIPANGALI

12965

22732

70113

38494

55

35

61

CHASEFU

15551

18222

58847

37203

63

43

51

CHADIZA

16369

10754

44779

30131

67

57

38

KAPOCHE

7141

17607

44696

27654

62

27

66

KAUMBWE

3773

10728

30509

16122

53

25

70

LUANGENI

10817

15482

39883

27975

70

40

57

MALAMBO

16169

13347

45130

31506

70

53

44

VUBWI

4813

10421

27925

16662

81

30

66

MKAIKA

13004

14265

47017

29860

64

45

50

MSANZALA

8021

15688

41500

25748

62

32

63

NYIMBA

11446

21288

53277

35100

66

34

62

SINDA

10856

9811

33346

22906

69

50

46

LUAPULA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

BANGWEULU

9598

25475

57856

38909

67

25

67

BAHATI

10203

18377

47919

32497

68

32

58

CHEMBE

3994

6014

18594

11482

62

36

54

CHIPILI

4789

10047

19729

15871

80

31

66

MAMBILIMA

3915

11438

23078

16142

70

25

73

KAWAMBWA

6529

14080

27885

21544

77

31

67

MWENSE

4174

17261

31937

22441

70

19

79

MILENGE

5163

10018

22191

16626

75

32

62

MWANSABOMBWE

4493

13274

27778

18754

68

25

73

PAMBASHE

5816

10139

20952

16992

81

35

62

LUSAKA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CHIRUNDU

20543

2992

30012

24339

81

86

13

FEIRA

4450

6537

14288

11504

81

39

58

KAFUE

33647

20183

78765

55554

71

62

37

CHONGWE

37995

23374

94677

63951

68

61

38

LUSAKA CENTRAL

38835

26318

93367

66748

71

59

40

RUFUNSA

8512

6973

25338

16532

65

54

44

MUCHINGA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NAKONDE

18086

19735

63178

40839

65

46

51

ISOKA

12000

12748

39050

26569

68

47

50

CHAMA NORTH

8968

12062

30963

22799

74

41

55

CHAMA SOUTH

6775

10059

22150

17922

81

39

58

CHINSALI

10079

26620

53782

39186

73

27

70

MAFINGA

9910

15408

39385

27630

70

37

58

SHIWAN’GANDU

5513

19129

35233

26785

76

21

74

NORTHERN

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CHIMBAMILONGA

7861

12212

28602

21264

74

38

59

KASAMA CENTRAL

17649

26358

69295

46334

67

39

58

MPULUNGU

19359

16252

54723

38004

69

53

45

KAPUTA

13207

13181

39084

27764

71

49

49

MALOLE

11538

35042

78633

50713

64

23

71

LUNTE

7455

9953

27462

19002

69

41

55

LUBANSENSHI

8907

17182

38753

27766

72

33

64

KASEMPA

24190

2060

35345

27263

77

91

8

LUKASHYA

10238

30101

64397

42610

66

25

73

LUPOSOSHI

6092

16229

29587

23657

80

27

71

MBALA

15477

14821

54086

32751

61

49

47

MPOROKOSO

6734

11334

25006

19022

76

36

61

SENGA HILL

13017

10673

44543

27033

61

51

42

NORTHWESTERN

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CHAVUMA

13758

2925

20597

17270

84

81

17

IKELENGE

13958

1301

18441

15694

85

90

8

KABOMPO

17411

1490

25018

19465

78

91

8

MANYINGA

17566

1588

24984

19800

79

91

8

MUFUMBWE

22162

2279

32070

25393

79

90

9

SOLWEZI EAST

11582

1575

19968

14105

71

86

12

SOLWEZI CENTRAL

44946

6966

76377

56515

74

81

13

SOLWEZI WEST

33301

1631

47696

36227

76

94

5

ZAMBEZI EAST

18271

1393

26317

20351

77

92

7

ZAMBEZI WEST

7088

1740

11676

9234

79

79

19

SOUTHERN

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CHIKANKATA

29749

966

36812

31449

86

96

3

BWEENGWA

21497

309

24946

22266

89

98

1

CHOMA CENTRAL

55973

4086

59565

59565

81

96

7

DUNDUMWEZI

27883

262

33197

28922

87

98

1

GWEEMBE

23147

416

27583

24226

88

97

2

KATOMBOLA

42466

1358

49926

45576

83

96

3

MONZE

47427

1974

59661

50349

84

95

4

MAGOYE

24992

830

30849

26562

86

97

3

MAPATIZYA

29859

620

35988

31562

88

97

2

MAZABUKA

39554

5468

58954

46401

79

86

12

MBABALA

26940

363

31536

27956

89

98

1

MOOMBA

14320

194

16895

15155

90

96

1

NAMWALA

34992

1376

44566

37502

84

95

4

PEMBA

29470

320

34403

30584

89

98

1

SIAVONGA

20625

1356

26265

22615

86

93

6

SINAZONGWE

48334

1683

61656

51530

84

96

3

LIVINGSTONE

45368

13273

78470

59902

76

77

22

WESTERN

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

KAOMA CENTRAL

17886

2725

29611

21356

72

86

13

LUKULU EAST

19016

2537

29651

22563

76

87

12

SESHEKE

15642

2548

25499

18843

74

85

14

MULOBEZI

9647

1448

14729

11572

79

85

13

SENANGA

22191

1249

33710

24169

72

93

5

LUAMPA

11857

2831

21663

15473

71

79

19

MWANDI

9554

1759

14049

11651

83

83

15

NKEYEMA

15834

1305

26867

18052

67

91

7

               

 TOTAL

1,847,870

1,079,713

4,232,208

3,084,434

72.9

61.6

36.0

Key points so far:

  • Turnout is *very* high at 73% 
  • In these 107 (69% of the total) constituencies, the UPND has a strong lead with 62% of the vote, with the PF trailing a long way back on 36%.
  • UPND has built a big lead on the Copperbelt (57%) and Lusaka (62%) – the two most populous provinces that account for 31% of all registered voters.
  • The PF are on 56%in Eastern Province – which sounds good until you realise that in 2016 PF won 79% in 2016 – so this represents a fall of 23%.
  • In Muchinga – often said to be his strongest constituency – President Lungu is on 60% of the vote, down from 83% in 2016, which represents another decline of 23%

Observer statements:

To download the African Union statement, click here

To download the Commonwealth Observation Group statement, click here

To download the European Union EOM statement, click here

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